Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1071.796153 1208.185824 1357.022097 1531.779796 1731.709528 1953.706548 2219.447637
2026-01-18 858.873954 1042.867038 1260.712847 1538.873818 1886.330916 2308.247551 2862.761092
2026-01-25 752.100651 960.820856 1222.210059 1576.087913 2046.473627 2655.517509 3512.361013
2026-02-01 672.062299 894.192348 1185.217116 1598.406040 2176.376666 2965.628869 4141.325650
2026-02-08 607.197496 836.247338 1148.105025 1609.348448 2283.715701 3248.493165 4760.149678
2026-02-15 556.984362 790.880141 1120.406232 1625.949616 2395.168801 3543.226569 5427.440653
2026-02-22 519.377579 758.310910 1105.627939 1656.741685 2526.916687 3878.055406 6194.668902
2026-03-01 469.906278 702.742250 1050.467212 1618.646415 2545.287938 4035.106665 6690.573148
2026-03-08 424.193431 648.246222 991.126281 1566.516175 2533.089419 4137.663868 7102.279294
2026-03-15 385.038877 600.277733 937.200814 1516.783408 2517.704057 4230.071493 7503.273565
2026-03-22 370.167924 589.439861 941.023171 1562.050402 2666.866388 4619.400578 8492.197948
2026-03-29 352.555418 572.442618 932.919109 1585.485221 2778.993881 4953.514386 9419.738533
2026-04-05 333.648184 552.261595 918.598810 1598.159077 2875.876813 5276.124671 10382.917907
2026-04-12 315.541815 532.018898 902.512313 1606.184380 2965.233281 5595.643004 11389.483340
2026-04-19 304.009968 522.145956 903.479412 1645.190231 3117.244081 6054.450628 12758.358731
2026-04-26 291.117496 508.720937 896.753970 1668.591793 3240.369808 6468.604884 14091.788563
2026-05-03 277.650642 493.134131 884.642214 1680.065887 3339.961180 6844.645837 15395.678176
2026-05-10 266.060899 480.076609 876.073703 1697.474437 3453.268068 7262.951209 16865.128061
2026-05-17 257.177363 471.390176 875.013569 1729.766368 3601.458582 7775.906476 18650.208687
2026-05-24 240.520171 446.589756 840.723860 1689.815943 3586.734478 7915.672158 19508.771016
2026-05-31 223.590951 420.103108 801.160184 1635.154618 3533.178292 7957.913801 20117.423956
2026-06-07 208.265978 395.782771 764.233595 1583.015506 3480.100790 7995.066822 20718.899748
2026-06-14 204.233980 393.754278 772.443861 1630.472430 3664.559276 8635.869235 23108.660105